Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.172166 0.190206 0.208653 0.228886 0.250411 0.272585 0.297114
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.149506 0.174786 0.201588 0.231978 0.265336 0.300701 0.340892
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.130594 0.160645 0.193538 0.231912 0.275147 0.322066 0.376542
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.118675 0.152724 0.191049 0.236855 0.289597 0.347929 0.416822
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.106769 0.143532 0.186026 0.237976 0.298985 0.367616 0.449903
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.096346 0.135076 0.180987 0.238304 0.306838 0.385116 0.480226
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.086601 0.126571 0.175134 0.236989 0.312212 0.399346 0.506514
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079598 0.120891 0.172206 0.238747 0.320880 0.417190 0.536883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075585 0.118702 0.173330 0.245251 0.335133 0.441594 0.575034
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.069639 0.113474 0.170195 0.246095 0.342203 0.457245 0.602717
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065638 0.110564 0.169801 0.250203 0.353173 0.477544 0.635995
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061563 0.107240 0.168608 0.253078 0.362459 0.495726 0.666731
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056420 0.102190 0.165024 0.252894 0.368088 0.509790 0.693053
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052254 0.098261 0.162729 0.254228 0.375549 0.526103 0.722205
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047652 0.093330 0.158759 0.253081 0.379634 0.538106 0.746030
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045238 0.091578 0.159134 0.257729 0.391241 0.559601 0.781738
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041909 0.088126 0.156868 0.258588 0.397751 0.574590 0.809349
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.038665 0.084557 0.154226 0.258755 0.403222 0.588198 0.835230
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035256 0.080440 0.150545 0.257267 0.406326 0.598673 0.857126
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.032943 0.078007 0.149256 0.259071 0.413818 0.614809 0.886252
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.031993 0.077889 0.151472 0.265915 0.428222 0.640023 0.927108
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.029743 0.075263 0.149656 0.266790 0.434362 0.654408 0.954122
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.028402 0.074198 0.150223 0.271120 0.445275 0.675109 0.989358